President Barack Obama handily
defeated Gov. Mitt Romney and won himself a second term Tuesday after a
bitter and historically expensive race that was primarily fought in just
a handful of battleground states. Networks project that Obama beat
Romney after nabbing the crucial state of Ohio.
The Romney campaign's last-ditch
attempt to put blue-leaning Midwestern swing states in play failed as
Obama's Midwestern firewall sent the president back to the White House
for four more years. Obama picked up the swing states of New Hampshire,
Michigan, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and
Ohio. Florida and Virginia are still too close to call, but even if he
won them, they would not give Romney enough Electoral College votes to
put him over the top. Romney looks poised to do better in the overall
popular vote.
The Obama victory marks an end to
a years-long campaign that saw historic advertisement spending levels,
countless rallies and speeches, and three much-watched debates.
The Romney campaign cast the
election as a referendum on Obama's economic policies, frequently
comparing him to former President Jimmy Carter and asking voters the
Reagan-esque question of whether they are better off than they were four
years ago. But the Obama campaign pushed back on the referendum
framing, blanketing key states such as Ohio early on with ads painting
him as a multimillionaire more concerned with profits than people. The
Obama campaign also aggressively attacked Romney on reproductive rights
issues, tying Romney to a handful of Republican candidates who made
controversial comments about rape and abortion.
These
ads were one reason Romney faced a steep likeability problem for most
of the race, until his expert performance at the first presidential
debate in Denver in October. After that debate, and a near universal
panning of Obama's performance, Romney caught up with Obama in national
polls, and almost closed his favoribility gap with the president. In
polls, voters consistently gave him an edge over Obama on who would
handle the economy better and create more jobs, even as they rated Obama
higher on caring about the middle class.
But the president's Midwestern firewall--and the campaign's impressive grassroots operation--carried him through.
Ohio tends to vote a bit more Republican than the nation as a whole, but Obama was able to stave off that trend and hold an edge there over Romney, perhaps due to the president's support of the auto bailout three years ago. Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan all but moved to Ohio in the last weeks of the campaign, trying and ultimately failing to erase Obama's lead there.
Ohio tends to vote a bit more Republican than the nation as a whole, but Obama was able to stave off that trend and hold an edge there over Romney, perhaps due to the president's support of the auto bailout three years ago. Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan all but moved to Ohio in the last weeks of the campaign, trying and ultimately failing to erase Obama's lead there.
A shrinking electoral
battleground this year meant that only 14 states were really seen as in
play, and both candidates spent most of their time and money in those
states. Though national polls showed the two candidates in a dead heat,
Obama consistently held a lead in the states that mattered. That, and
his campaign's much-touted get out the vote efforts and overall ground
game, may be what pushed Obama over the finish line.
The loss may provoke some soul
searching in the Republican Party. This election was seen as a prime
opportunity to unseat Obama, as polls showed Americans were unhappy with
a sluggish economy, sky-high unemployment, and a health care reform
bill that remained widely unpopular. Romney took hardline positions on
immigration, federal spending, and taxes during the long Republican
primary when he faced multiple challenges from the right. He later
shifted to the center in tone on many of those issues, but it's possible
the primary painted him into a too-conservative corner to appeal to
moderates during the general election. The candidate also at times
seemed unable to effectively counter Democratic attacks on his business
experience and personal wealth.
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